The September file / 01
Five more payroll batches. Twenty additions to the published roster. The same operator. The same collection wallet.
01 / The money trail
The signing wallet 0xc012…59efe sent three batches on August 26 and two on September 15. Each went through the same ClipperPayout contract used in the original investigation. Betmoar’s collection wallet received money in all five.
02 / New to the published roster
The transfers identify the receiving wallets. Polymarket’s public profiles supply the labels below. Search a name or address, inspect the payment, or compare it with the original roster.
03 / The oracle trail
The wallets documented in the Car and aenews2 cases made nine further oracle calls. The decoded questions can be read alongside trades in those markets.
Car / 7 oracle calls
Car’s documented proposer wallet disputed and proposed the Houthi/Saudi market, then proposed outcomes for four Apple Maps markets and the jL roster market. Car’s trading feed contains activity in the Houthi question and three of those Apple Maps questions.
Read the original Car case ↗aenews2 / 2 oracle calls
On September 15, the documented proposer wallet disputed two questions about an AI model reaching a score of 1520. The aenews2 trading feed contains a trade in the September 30 question.
Read the original aenews2 case ↗| Wallet | UTC | Action | Question from calldata | Receipt |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Car proposer | 2026-08-20 15:32:07 | disputePrice | Will there be Houthi military action against Saudi Arabia by August 15, 2026? | Transaction ↗ |
| Car proposer | 2026-08-20 15:36:24 | proposePrice | Will there be Houthi military action against Saudi Arabia by August 15, 2026? | Transaction ↗ |
| Car proposer | 2026-09-01 22:30:04 | proposePrice | Apple Maps renames Lake Ontario to Lake America by September 1? | Transaction ↗ |
| Car proposer | 2026-09-01 22:30:22 | proposePrice | Apple Maps renames Lake Ontario to Lake America by September 2? | Transaction ↗ |
| Car proposer | 2026-09-01 22:30:43 | proposePrice | Apple Maps renames Lake Ontario to Lake America by September 3? | Transaction ↗ |
| Car proposer | 2026-09-01 22:31:03 | proposePrice | Apple Maps renames Lake Ontario to Lake America by September 4? | Transaction ↗ |
| Car proposer | 2026-09-03 16:09:43 | proposePrice | Will JL Find a Team Before September? | Transaction ↗ |
| aenews2 proposer | 2026-09-15 12:45:21 | disputePrice | Will any AI model reach 1520 Overall Arena Score by September 30, 2026? | Transaction ↗ |
| aenews2 proposer | 2026-09-15 12:45:28 | disputePrice | Will any AI model reach a Chatbot Arena score of at least 1520 by December 31? | Transaction ↗ |
Download the question-to-trade joins, with both transaction links ↓
04 / Open the data
August 18 to September 16, 16:11 UTC. 107 complete activity feeds, including 10 comparison accounts. Switch groups, inspect the trades, and compare pairs.
Select a day to see its trade count.
| Account | Group | Trades | Markets | Bought · USD | Sold · USD | Zero-price redeemable positions | Activity feed |
|---|
Trade counts and amounts cover the selected research window. Redeemable positions show holdings at collection time.
Daily trade counts were compared with Spearman correlation, 999 three-day block permutations, and Benjamini–Hochberg correction across the tested pairs.
| Accounts | Shared markets | Market overlap | Daily ρ | Adjusted q | Same-side markets within 60s | Comparison account |
|---|
Opposite BUYs in the same binary market, separate transactions, within 60 seconds, at least 95% size agreement, and combined prices from 1.005 to 1.04. One event per pair and market.
| Accounts | Market | Matched shares | Seconds apart | Combined price | Chain fills | Receipts |
|---|
05 / The source files
Rebuild the tables, trace a payment, or run your own comparisons. Each file carries the addresses and source links used in this update.