Behind the bet17 SEP 2026

17 September / App, people, payments

The Bagel
connection.

A named founder. A shared app publisher. Referral promotion from the accounts already in this investigation. And a daily payment stream much larger than the builder batches.

01 / Separate roles, specific evidence

Who is behind it.
Who promotes it.

Alliance names Chess Che / @chessxyz as founder. Apple and Google name GM AI SINGAPORE PTE. LTD. as the app publisher. Select a connection to see the record that establishes it.

Common referencebagel.winWebsite · @bagel_win · BagelWin profile

Named by the accelerator

Chess Che

Alliance names Chess Che under Founders and links @chessxyz. The 168X interview introduces the same handle as Bagel’s founder and describes earlier QuestN and GM Network work.

Alliance’s founder listing ↗

The earlier company connection is concrete.

Apple lists QuestN under the same developer as Bagel. The May 20 founder interview describes Chess’s path through QuestN and GM Network. Together, these records connect the current app to an earlier growth-product business.

Open the shared developer listing ↗

The paid profile has an exact match.

Builder logo → user ID 4455686 → Gamma profile → paid wallet. The profile names @bagel_win, which the website also links. This identifies the app; the reviewed sources do not identify a human signer for its wallet.

Inspect every field in the join ↗

02 / Two separate payment streams

The builder batches
were only part of the inflow.

All amounts below match successful Polygon transfer logs to 0x726f470f186ffb7f41800b3cfff95c98cba5ed4b. Tokens and payment streams remain separate; conversions are not counted again as new income.

Builder-payment account / 0xc012…9efe

7,489.99 USDC.e

21 payments · April 24–September 15

The four-operator census identifies these payments through ClipperPayout. The previously published 2,243.69-USDC.e figure covered only five of them.

Follow this account’s funding ↗

Daily distributions / two successive senders

142,961.2271 PUSD

141 payments on 141 consecutive UTC dates

9,629.4294 PUSD from 0xd7a0…d4ba through June 16; 133,331.7977 PUSD from 0xacec…0582 from June 17. The receipts establish payments, but do not label them as fees, rebates or rewards.

A payment every day

Choose a day to inspect its amount, sender and transaction.

Daily PUSD payments to Bagel

What explains the daily stream?

Polymarket documents distribution of collected builder fees to the builder profile’s wallet. Bagel is a fee-enabled builder. That makes fee distribution a possible explanation; the activity API returns no classification for this account, so the 142,961.2271 PUSD is recorded here as unclassified daily distributions.

Read the documented fee-distribution mechanism ↗

Wincy’s archived orders used Bagel.

426 of 426 archived maker fills from the linked 0xf595…fd9e account carry Bagel’s exact code. Every transaction and log has been rechecked. App attribution establishes where those orders were routed; account-control evidence remains in the original investigation.

Open the original account evidence ↗
Open all 21 builder-batch payments
Date · UTCUSDC.eProof
2026-04-2496.00Transaction ↗Log 3303
2026-04-30100.00Transaction ↗Log 2979
2026-05-10126.00Transaction ↗Log 474
2026-05-16297.00Transaction ↗Log 1790
2026-05-28290.00Transaction ↗Log 2450
2026-05-28400.00Transaction ↗Log 532
2026-06-11272.64Transaction ↗Log 1659
2026-06-11123.09Transaction ↗Log 2069
2026-06-19533.21Transaction ↗Log 66
2026-06-28516.05Transaction ↗Log 1833
2026-07-07379.47Transaction ↗Log 1484
2026-07-07396.98Transaction ↗Log 118
2026-07-14415.73Transaction ↗Log 1543
2026-07-24398.57Transaction ↗Log 1513
2026-08-04454.42Transaction ↗Log 1456
2026-08-06447.14Transaction ↗Log 42
2026-08-26435.42Transaction ↗Log 677
2026-08-26437.96Transaction ↗Log 182
2026-08-26453.56Transaction ↗Log 1006
2026-09-15456.99Transaction ↗Log 541
2026-09-15459.76Transaction ↗Log 463
Open the latest seven daily distributions
Date · UTCPUSDProof
2026-09-112,030.8364Receipt ↗
2026-09-121,230.8866Receipt ↗
2026-09-133,385.0551Receipt ↗
2026-09-144,049.5063Receipt ↗
2026-09-151,807.4969Receipt ↗
2026-09-161,840.3346Receipt ↗
2026-09-171,496.9572Receipt ↗

03 / The acquisition model

Referral links bring users.
Social features keep them trading.

The documented design connects recruitment, copying trades, repeated activity and fees. Each step has a public source.

  1. 01 / Recruit

    Promoters and referral codes

    Bagel recruits Growth and Creator Ambassadors. Wincy’s Telegram posts link ref=WINCY; the 168X interview uses FMEWNQ. These are identifiable acquisition channels.

    Official application ↗Wincy’s referral post ↗
  2. 02 / Repeat

    Copy, re-buy, collect rewards

    Bagel’s changelog documents one-tap copying, quick re-buy, campaign volume leaderboards and a Reward Center. Wincy’s September 2 post says she won $4 in a volume-based spin game.

    Product release record ↗Wincy’s own statement ↗
  3. 03 / Monetize

    Fees and negotiated rebates

    Bagel publishes trading fees and recruits high-volume traders for reviewed fee rebates. Its application starts at $100,000 monthly volume. Neither application gives a public commission or rebate percentage.

    Trading fee terms ↗Rebate application ↗

What this establishes

There is an incentive to generate more trading.

Promoters can bring an audience into a product that charges on execution and encourages further activity. That commercial connection is documented. Kate’s and Wincy’s individual compensation, their recruited users’ profitability, and any common ownership with Bagel remain unestablished.

Compare Kate’s posted results with the four-slip accounting ↗

04 / The small-order fee

A $1 market order
carries a 5% app fee.

Bagel’s published terms charge $0.05 below $5, 1% from $5 upward, and 0.5% on limit orders. The minimum matters when promotion emphasizes small trades.

Illustrative Bagel app fee$0.505.00% per execution

Uses the published app terms, captured September 17. Execution means one order: a buy and a sell are two. Venue fees, price changes and negotiated rebates are outside this calculation. The separate CLOB rate table reports maker/taker percentages.

05 / Inspect the records

Names have sources.
Amounts have receipts.

Exact logs, metadata joins, dated public sources and calculation rules. Full addresses appear in the source files. No named person is assigned control of the Bagel payment wallet by inference.

Open the public source ledger
  • Bagel website ↗

    Links its official X account, app promotion, trading rebate application and ambassador application.

  • Alliance company profile ↗

    Names Chess Che, links @chessxyz under Founders, and links Bagel to bagel.win and @bagel_win. Establishes an Alliance portfolio listing; does not identify an onchain signer.

  • Apple App Store listing ↗

    Names GM AI SINGAPORE PTE. LTD. as provider/developer of Bagel, app ID 6760811152; lists QuestN under More by the same developer (developer ID 1669716920).

  • Google Play listing ↗

    Bagel package win.bagel is published as BagelWin; About the developer names GM AI SINGAPORE PTE. LTD.

  • 168X founder interview, 20 May 2026 ↗

    Introduces Chess as Bagel founder, links @chessxyz, describes prior QuestN and GM Network work and Alliance participation. Promotes referral code FMEWNQ. Professional history is the publisher’s description, not a corporate ownership filing.

  • Bagel terms, updated 25 May 2026 ↗

    Section 3.2 specifies a 1% market-order fee at $5 or more, a flat $0.05 below $5, and a 0.5% limit-order fee. Formula examples are illustrations of these terms, not historical collected revenue.

  • Bagel privacy policy ↗

    Says account information is used to calculate and distribute referral rewards and rebates. No referral commission percentage is stated.

  • Bagel official changelog ↗

    May 28: $20,000 World Cup campaign. June 30: invite lists, public volume/win rates, copy counts, one-tap copy and quick re-buy. July 16: campaign reward and copy-trade history. August 14: Reward Center and campaign leaderboard volume display.

  • Official trading rebate application ↗

    Linked from bagel.win. Offers fee rebates subject to review for high-volume traders; current/expected monthly-volume options start at $100,000–$300,000 and end at $1 million+. Does not publish the rebate percentage.

  • Official ambassador application ↗

    Linked from bagel.win. Recruits Growth and Creator Ambassadors to bring sports/esports communities and rewards contributions. Applicants must have completed a trade. Links a Notion program page, but its detailed terms were not successfully captured.

  • Wincy public Telegram ↗

    Posts 539 and 542 link to bagel.win with ref=WINCY. Post 540 says she won $4 in a volume-based spin game. Records establish referral promotion and a stated experience, not a verified payout amount.