Polymarket / An open-record investigation
The wallets. The apps. The oracle decisions.
Trace the connections through public records, then inspect the transactions yourself.
Latest investigation / 17 Sep
141 daysThe founder. The referral promoters. The daily payments behind the app.
Follow the connections ↗The evidence desk
Browse by topic or search an app, profile, wallet or finding. Each case opens the records behind it.
Bagel / People & payments
New finding142,961.2271 PUSD in daily receipts. Connect Bagel’s public founder, GM AI Singapore, referral promotion and paid builder account.
Incentives / New analysis
New findingCurrent fee settings, 34 verified referral payments and an analysis of what builder payouts track. Put the funding network in its commercial context.
Payouts / Reverse engineering
New findingAn open contract. Four payment accounts. Verified funding routes and the approval keys behind 18 multisig replenishments of the original operator.
Kate & Wincy / New hub
New findingThe hub paid 2,200.005037 USDC to Kate’s recurring payer and 850 USDC into a second route reaching Wincy’s documented withdrawal endpoint.
Kate & Wincy / Original operator
New findingTwo direct transfers. Two ClipperPayout batches. The June 10 batch paid Kate’s Safe owner and the endpoint in adjacent logs; another payment followed on August 19.
Kate / August funding
New findingOn August 28, staging-wallet funds passed through redemption and Relay into Kate’s recurring payer. Its final 1,138.290177-USDC payment reached her verified Safe owner.
Apps / Payments
New findingOfficial user IDs connect payment aliases to named builders. The matched wallets received 81,197.18 USDC.e across five batches.
Car / Positions
16 SEPHistorical balances put Car on the favored side before all eleven proposals that later settled as “Too Early.” Nine markets, checked at the previous block.
Car / Access
16 SEPThe wallet Car funded was on an enabled proposer list before every managed-oracle proposal in the reviewed record.
Apps / Trading
16 SEPAn exact builder code ties 39 farm-sample wallets and a staging wallet to Firefly’s order attribution. Its profile also received a payment.
Payments / Funding
16 SEPOne wallet sent 2,100,001 USDC.e to the payroll funder and 75,000 PUSD to a trading treasury. Follow each transfer through the receipt map.
Payments / Census
16 SEPThe same signing wallet sent three batches on August 26 and two on September 15. Betmoar’s collection wallet received 18,953.66 USDC.e.
Trading / Matching
16 SEPTwo cases survive the raw-receipt check for both tracked accounts buying opposite outcomes in one transaction. Open the order fills and market details.
Trading / Correlation
16 SEPAcross 226,717 trade records, no tested correlation clears the adjusted p < 0.05 threshold. Explore the pairs, activity chart and full coverage record.
Try another name or reset the topic and evidence filters.
The original investigation
The full story, network map and wallet directory remain open.